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Texas Holdem Hand Odds Probabilities

Texas Holdem Hand Odds Probabilities 7,0/10 7434 votes
Probability

Introduction

Hand

In Texas Hold 'Em a hand is said to be dominated if another player has a similar, and better, hand. To be more specific, a dominated hand is said to rely on three or fewer outs (cards) to beat the hand dominating it, not counting difficult multiple-card draws. There are four types of domination, as follows.

  1. A pair is dominated by a higher pair. For example J-J is dominated by Q-Q. Only two cards help the J-J, the other two jacks.
  2. A non-pair is dominated by a pair of either card. For example, Q-5 is dominated by Q-Q or 5-5. In the case of 5-5, three cards only will help the Q-5, the other three queens.
  3. A non-pair is dominated by a pair greater than the lower card. For example, Q-5 is dominated by 8-8. Only three cards will help the Q-5, the other three queens.
  4. A non-pair is dominated by another non-pair if there if there is a shared card, and the rank of the opponent's non-shared card is greater the dominated non-shared card. For example Q-5 is dominated by K-5 or Q-7. In the former case (K-5 over Q-5) only three cards can help Q-5, the other three queens.
  1. Texas Holdem - Odds and Probabilities It can be handy to know the odds and probabilities of being dealt various card combinations in texas hold'em. Learning the odds so that you know when and how much to bet, is probably one of the most important lessons in poker. Texas Holdem takes a minute to learn and a lifetime to master.
  2. Using The 'Outs' To Calculate Texas Hold'em Poker Odds. We have already determined that you have nine 'outs'. Now there are 52 cards in a deck and two of those are in your hand, leaving 50.

That said, the following tables present the probability of every two-card hand being dominated, according to the total number of players.

Probability of Domination — PairsExpand

Poker odds give you the probability of winning any given hand. Higher odds mean a lower chance of winning, meaning that when the odds are large against you it’ll be a long time until you succeed. They are usually displayed as a number to number ratio and indicate the potential return on investment; for example, odds of nine to one (9:1) means.

Texas Holdem Hand Odds Probabilities Chart

Cards2 Players3 Players4 Players5 Players6 Players7 Players8 Players9 Players10 Players
2,20.05880.11420.16590.21500.26090.30440.34490.38350.4195
3,30.05400.10490.15320.19830.24190.28260.32120.35760.3922
4,40.04890.09560.14000.18200.22200.26020.29660.33130.3640
5,50.04410.08620.12650.16530.20210.23760.27100.30310.3345
6,60.03920.07670.11330.14810.18160.21360.24480.27450.3036
7,70.03440.06750.09960.13060.16050.18950.21770.24470.2709
8,80.02950.05810.08580.11290.13910.16480.18940.21380.2369
9,90.02460.04850.07200.09470.11730.13910.16040.18130.2017
T,T0.01960.03890.05780.07650.09470.11260.13000.14780.1649
J,J0.01470.02930.04350.05770.07190.08560.09920.11320.1262
Q,Q0.00980.01950.02920.03890.04830.05790.06740.07660.0861
K,K0.00490.00980.01470.01960.02450.02940.03410.03910.0439
A,A0.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.0000

Probability of Domination — Non-PairsExpand

Cards2 Players3 Players4 Players5 Players6 Players7 Players8 Players9 Players10 Players
3,20.27420.47850.62890.73890.81870.87530.91560.94380.9629
4,20.26450.46340.61240.72270.80360.86260.90490.93500.9562
4,30.24960.44170.58770.69860.78150.84330.88880.92200.9459
5,20.25460.44870.59560.70600.78810.84890.89340.92550.9486
5,30.23990.42630.57010.68050.76450.82790.87540.91080.9367
5,40.22530.40360.54390.65390.73930.80500.85560.89370.9227
6,20.24500.43380.57860.68850.77180.83440.88090.91520.9403
6,30.23020.41100.55250.66200.74700.81180.86140.89860.9266
6,40.21540.38810.52540.63440.71990.78690.83940.87960.9105
6,50.20080.36470.49750.60470.69110.75990.81460.85810.8919
7,20.23500.41860.56110.67090.75500.81910.86760.90420.9311
7,30.22040.39550.53400.64300.72850.79480.84610.88540.9155
7,40.20570.37240.50650.61380.70000.76810.82200.86420.8971
7,50.19100.34840.47760.58330.66930.73880.79510.84020.8761
7,60.17630.32440.44780.55100.63650.70710.76510.81280.8514
8,20.22550.40340.54340.65260.73750.80320.85360.89230.9213
8,30.21050.38000.51570.62370.70950.77710.83000.87140.9034
8,40.19590.35630.48700.59320.67910.74810.80370.84780.8828
8,50.18120.33230.45740.56140.64670.71680.77430.82080.8586
8,60.16660.30780.42720.52770.61220.68290.74160.79040.8311
8,70.15180.28290.39520.49220.57500.64530.70560.75630.7992
9,20.21560.38780.52500.63380.71940.78620.83880.87930.9104
9,30.20100.36430.49680.60390.68950.75830.81300.85640.8904
9,40.18620.34020.46740.57200.65770.72740.78430.83000.8668
9,50.17140.31570.43710.53880.62340.69370.75230.80030.8398
9,60.15690.29110.40610.50360.58680.65730.71670.76670.8088
9,70.14190.26580.37340.46690.54760.61740.67760.72890.7730
9,80.12740.24030.34000.42820.50610.57420.63420.68670.7320
T,20.20570.37220.50660.61430.70050.76880.82290.86540.8987
T,30.19100.34850.47720.58310.66910.73870.79500.84020.8762
T,40.17640.32400.44740.55010.63520.70550.76380.81110.8499
T,50.16170.29950.41630.51530.59910.66960.72860.77840.8196
T,60.14700.27420.38430.47900.56060.63050.69040.74130.7847
T,70.13230.24870.35120.44110.51960.58810.64780.69960.7448
T,80.11760.22270.31690.40080.47540.54180.60090.65320.6993
T,90.10300.19650.28170.35860.42860.49230.54920.60100.6473
J,20.19600.35660.48770.59440.68080.75050.80630.85080.8862
J,30.18130.33240.45780.56170.64760.71800.77570.82270.8610
J,40.16650.30780.42710.52750.61200.68280.74190.79110.8317
J,50.15190.28270.39540.49160.57410.64410.70420.75490.7976
J,60.13710.25730.36210.45370.53360.60260.66250.71430.7590
J,70.12230.23140.32840.41420.49010.55720.61640.66880.7145
J,80.10770.20500.29310.37250.44420.50830.56580.61740.6638
J,90.09310.17850.25710.32890.39480.45530.51000.56010.6061
J,T0.07830.15150.21990.28370.34270.39790.44930.49670.5409
Q,20.18620.34060.46850.57390.66040.73120.78860.83520.8727
Q,30.17130.31610.43790.54020.62550.69680.75570.80440.8445
Q,40.15680.29100.40620.50450.58800.65900.71890.76960.8119
Q,50.14220.26580.37360.46710.54820.61800.67830.72990.7744
Q,60.12730.24000.34000.42800.50550.57340.63330.68570.7312
Q,70.11260.21390.30480.38680.46000.52540.58350.63570.6818
Q,80.09790.18750.26910.34350.41130.47300.52890.58000.6257
Q,90.08330.16060.23210.29830.36000.41660.46890.51730.5619
Q,T0.06870.13320.19400.25160.30520.35570.40320.44800.4894
Q,J0.05400.10550.15470.20200.24740.29020.33130.37070.4082
K,20.17630.32460.44910.55320.63950.71110.77020.81850.8579
K,30.16160.29980.41780.51780.60270.67400.73430.78480.8269
K,40.14690.27450.38510.48080.56330.63430.69480.74660.7908
K,50.13220.24910.35170.44220.52110.59040.65090.70370.7494
K,60.11750.22300.31710.40130.47630.54310.60250.65500.7016
K,70.10290.19640.28140.35860.42850.49180.54900.60070.6473
K,80.08810.16970.24470.31390.37770.43670.49050.53970.5853
K,90.07340.14230.20690.26750.32380.37650.42590.47200.5148
K,T0.05880.11460.16780.21830.26650.31200.35550.39610.4350
K,J0.04410.08660.12770.16710.20580.24260.27800.31250.3452
K,Q0.02940.05820.08650.11410.14140.16790.19400.21950.2444
A,20.16650.30860.42940.53160.61770.69010.75050.80090.8425
A,30.15170.28350.39700.49490.57910.65090.71200.76410.8080
A,40.13720.25780.36360.45650.53760.60820.66950.72270.7684
A,50.12240.23180.32940.41640.49340.56180.62230.67540.7225
A,60.10770.20540.29400.37410.44620.51150.57020.62280.6701
A,70.09310.17870.25750.33000.39630.45720.51290.56380.6101
A,80.07830.15160.22000.28370.34280.39830.44980.49760.5418
A,90.06370.12410.18100.23520.28660.33470.38040.42370.4647
A,T0.04900.09590.14110.18470.22640.26640.30490.34170.3770
A,J0.03430.06770.10030.13200.16290.19310.22230.25070.2784
A,Q0.01950.03890.05820.07690.09560.11400.13200.15000.1676
A,K0.00490.00980.01470.01950.02430.02920.03400.03880.0436

Methodology: These tables were created by a random simulation. Each cell in the table above for pairs was based on 7.8 million hands, and 21.7 million for the non-pairs.

2-Player Formula

The probability of domination in a two player game is easy to calculate. For pairs it is 6×(number of higher ranks)/1225. For example, the probability a pair of eights is dominated is 6×6/1225 = 0.0294, because there are six ranks higher than 8 (9,T,J,Q,K,A).

For non-pairs the formula is (6+18×(L-1)+12×H)/1225, where

L=Number of ranks higher than lower card
H=Number of ranks higher than higher card

Texas Holdem Hand Odds Probabilities Probability

For example, the probability that J-7 is dominated is (6+18×(7-1)+12×3)/1225 = 150/1225 = 0.1224.

ProbabilitiesTexas Holdem Hand Odds Probabilities
Written by: Michael Shackleford